Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 3.534343 4.174572 4.866429 5.665990 6.560806 7.527681 8.647628
2026-01-18 2.660927 3.515993 4.515322 5.754492 7.234243 8.929153 11.001035
2026-01-25 1.944988 2.877536 4.054353 5.612917 7.585458 9.961363 12.999204
2026-02-01 1.442766 2.391502 3.681972 5.499504 7.923184 10.972985 15.023427
2026-02-08 1.077818 2.005110 3.363154 5.390283 8.225282 11.933387 17.022267
2026-02-15 0.821499 1.715360 3.121840 5.338125 8.573705 12.952096 19.132702
2026-02-22 0.689490 1.592048 3.101157 5.586676 9.341132 14.557491 22.081052
2026-03-01 0.543181 1.404705 2.944300 5.601544 9.759049 15.691622 24.433453
2026-03-08 0.385554 1.147436 2.621946 5.308022 9.679666 16.103319 25.790469
2026-03-15 0.277871 0.955943 2.376341 5.100529 9.699148 16.638332 27.321477
2026-03-22 0.241120 0.916878 2.409318 5.368564 10.480650 18.323186 30.551362
2026-03-29 0.220940 0.913797 2.511689 5.765469 11.489386 20.384166 34.389553
2026-04-05 0.194407 0.887150 2.565680 6.086710 12.405733 22.363672 38.209912
2026-04-12 0.154692 0.805697 2.487905 6.152100 12.893767 23.702343 41.125850
2026-04-19 0.110893 0.687322 2.302683 5.986684 12.969171 24.393035 43.087488
2026-04-26 0.079272 0.590900 2.146933 5.857842 13.092819 25.156546 45.175111
2026-05-03 0.055815 0.508324 2.005373 5.737499 13.216014 25.914173 47.265327
2026-05-10 0.039845 0.445266 1.899927 5.679371 13.444454 26.846310 49.647342
2026-05-17 0.033997 0.432773 1.935834 5.937592 14.279897 28.814048 53.708409
2026-05-24 0.024854 0.389131 1.868472 5.951863 14.646616 30.001855 56.557640
2026-05-31 0.014103 0.312801 1.674894 5.643764 14.361568 30.063220 57.596950
2026-06-07 0.007942 0.256935 1.528408 5.425964 14.234006 30.381646 59.049512
2026-06-14 0.006771 0.255032 1.577427 5.706439 15.132864 32.522881 63.530937